Proven Realty | Brokered by eXp Realty View Listings
OCTOBER 2026  ·  MONTHLY BAKKEN READ
Headed Into Q4
The top things to watch
Here's what's really going on in our backyard
Erik Peterson
From
Erik Peterson · Broker/Owner, Proven Realty
This month everyone is asking me the same things: Is the boom back? Should I wait for rates to drop? Here are my straight answers.
01
“Is the oil boom coming back?”
Oil passed $100 in September, and the Bakken added 5 rigs in one week, the biggest jump since 2016. North Dakota now has 35 active rigs, up from 23 in May. More rigs mean more jobs and more people who need a place to live.

My advice: buy on your base, not on the barrel. Buy what your regular paycheck can afford, not what high oil might pay for. Oil dropped below $70 just this June.

The good news is the base is strong. North Dakota has 20,072 producing wells, the most ever. Our area does not rise and fall with the price of oil the way it used to.

See what's for sale right now →
02
“Should I wait for rates to drop?”
I would not count on it. In September the Fed raised rates instead of cutting them, and most of its officials expect one more increase this year.

The average 30-year mortgage is now 7.28%, up from 6.34% a year ago. On a $300,000 loan, that is $188 more a month for the same house.

Home prices are not dropping though. In the Midwest they are up 3.3% from last year. Higher rates are slowing sales, not lowering prices.

Get your real monthly payment from Heartland Mortgage →
03
“So how are people affording a house?”
→  Take over the seller's low rate. Some FHA and VA loans at 3–4% can be passed on to the buyer. That can save you about $747 a month on $300,000. Catch: you may need cash up front.

→  Ask the builder for a deal. About 2 out of 3 builders are offering extras right now. Catch: make sure the price is fair first.

→  Start with an adjustable rate. You get a lower rate for the first few years. Catch: it can go up later.

Browse our current listings →
04
“Is now a bad time to sell?”
No. Prices are holding. But buyers are careful at 7%, so pricing right from day one matters more than ever.

Find out what your home is worth →
Our September at Proven Realty
In September we closed 19 deals worth $10,045,400. So far this year, that's 171 deals worth $68,038,256.

Thank you for trusting us.
What's holding you back from buying or selling this fall? Hit reply and tell me. I read every reply.
See you on the next one.
Erik Peterson
Erik Peterson
Broker/Owner, Proven Realty brokered by eXp
(701) 369-3949
[email protected]
OCTOBER CONTRACTOR SPECIAL · ENDS OCT 31
Shops now starting at $300,000
Phase 1 is nearing completion, and Schauer Construction is offering special pricing through October. Choose from 1,500 to 2,280 SF, each with 14 foot overhead doors, 16 foot sidewalls, heat and A/C, a 3/4 bath with shower, and a one-year builder warranty.
SCHEDULE A SHOWING   CALL ERIK
313 60TH AVE NW, WILLISTON, ND · OFF HWY 2
SHOWINGS WITH ERIK PETERSON, PROVEN REALTY · 701-369-3949
61
TOTAL UNITS, 3 PHASES
1,500–2,280
SQUARE FEET
11
BUILDINGS ON SITE
Fall '26
PHASE 1 DELIVERY

Bakken Market Snapshot

WILLISTON
MEDIAN LIST
$470,000
▼ from $475,000
ACTIVE LISTINGS
68
▲ from 65
DAYS ON MARKET
96
▲ from 71
Prices softened through September with homes taking three weeks longer to move than they did in early September.
WATFORD CITY
MEDIAN LIST
$460,000
▼ from $468,320
ACTIVE LISTINGS
29
▼ from 32
DAYS ON MARKET
69
▲ from 63
Prices eased with inventory tightening but homes are taking longer to move.
DICKINSON
MEDIAN LIST
$384,900
▲ from $379,950
ACTIVE LISTINGS
77
▼ from 82
DAYS ON MARKET
126
▲ from 115
Prices firmed and inventory eased but homes are sitting longer. Still the slowest Bakken market.
THE TAKEAWAY · MONTHLY VIEW
September was the month buyers took their time. Williston drifted from $472K to $470K while days on market jumped from 71 to 96, nearly a month longer. Watford City eased from $468K to $460K with inventory thinning and homes slowing down. Dickinson actually firmed on price for the first time in months, but days on market stretched past 125. The common thread: fall buyers are showing up, but they're deliberate and selective. Across our deals, listings priced to today's market close in weeks. Listings priced to July's peaks are watching the calendar flip to Q4. Heading into October, this is a market that rewards precision and punishes anchoring to the summer highs.

September 2026 Sales Update

September closed strong with 19 transactions and just over $10 million in volume, pushing year-to-date totals to 171 closings and $68 million. To every client who trusted this team in September, thank you. We don't take that lightly and we're not slowing down heading into Q4.

Join Our Growing Team!

At Proven Realty, our vision is to be the leading real estate company in North Dakota and Eastern Montana, known for our exceptional customer service, deep local expertise, and unwavering commitment to our clients. We believe that our impact extends beyond transactions; we are dedicated to changing the lives of our clients, as well as our agents and employees

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North Dakota Events

Oct
07
Wed
Watford City Community Blood Drive
Donate blood to support local hospitals — one donation can save up to three lives.
Outlaws Ballroom · Oct 7 12–6 PM, Oct 8 9:30 AM–1:45 PM · Free
Oct
10
Sat
Timeless Traditions: Punched Tin Lanterns
A hands-on frontier-lighting workshop (ages 8+) where you punch and take home your own tin lantern.
Confluence Interpretive Center · 2–3 PM · Free
Oct
10
Sat
Pumpkin Patch at Meadowlark Acres
A fall afternoon on the farm with pumpkin picking, hatchet throwing, slingshots, a food truck, and baked goods.
Meadowlark Acres · 12–4 PM

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